Fantasy Football Rankings - Week 3, 2025
- Kev Wheeler
- Sep 18
- 3 min read
Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 3 are likely to look very different between most Fantasy Football sites. Many analysts know not to overreact to what we saw in each of the first two weeks, but we definitely need to use some of the information to stay Bayesian and adjust or prior predictions. There is tremendous variance in football every week, we just don’t have relevant, applicable data to go from yet. We can use stats from last season, but every team has changed since then, some in very significant ways, on both offense and defense.
Justin Jefferson in his rookie season:
Week 1 - 3 targets, 2/26/0 receiving line, 4.6 PPR fantasy points
Week 2 - 3 targets - 3/44/0 - 7.4 pts
Week 3 - 9 targets - 7/145/1 - 27.5 pts
Full season - 125 targets - 88/1,400/7 - WR8
The first couple of weeks we tend to confuse outlier weeks as predictive indicators.
Week 3 Schedule
Thursday, September 18, 2025
MATCHUP TIME TV ODDS
Miami @ Buffalo 8:15 PM Prime Line: BUF -11.5 O/U: 50.5
Sunday, September 21, 2025
MATCHUP TIME TV ODDS
Green Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 PM FOX Line: GB -7.5 O/U: 41.5
Indianapolis @ Tennessee 1:00 PM CBS Line: IND -4.5 O/U: 43.5
Cincinnati @ Minnesota 1:00 PM CBS Line: MIN -2.5 O/U: 41.5
Pittsburgh @ New England 1:00 PM CBS Line: PIT -1.5 O/U: 44.5
Los Angeles @ Philadelphia 1:00 PM FOX Line: PHI -3.5 O/U: 44.5
New York @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM FOX Line: TB -6.5 O/U: 43.5
Las Vegas @ Washington 1:00 PM FOX Line: WSH -3.5 O/U: 44.5
Atlanta @ Carolina 1:00 PM FOX Line: ATL -5.5 O/U: 44.5
Houston @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM CBS Line: JAX -1.5 O/U: 44.5
Denver @ Los Angeles 4:05 PM CBS Line: LAC -2.5 O/U: 45.5
New Orleans @ Seattle 4:05 PM CBS Line: SEA -7.5 O/U: 41.5
Dallas @ Chicago 4:25 PM FOX Line: DAL -1.5 O/U: 50.5
Arizona @ San Francisco 4:25 PM FOX Line: SF -2.5 O/U: 45.5
Kansas City @ New York 8:20 PM NBC Line: KC -6.5 O/U: 45.5
Monday, September 22, 2025
Detroit @ Baltimore 8:15 PM ESPN Line: BAL -4.5 O/U: 53.5
Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings
When examining these fantasy football weekly rankings, take into consideration that I am really only looking at positional ranks, not flex or overall rankings. When it comes to who you start in the flex a lot will depend on your specific league rules and roster construction. If players are ranked within 3 spots of each other the difference between them is negligible, they are expected to score the same amount of points, in those cases go with your gut, flip a coin, or join our Discord Channel.
Quarterback
Running Back
The Process
My usual process is to only take data from the previous six weeks, I truly believe anything older than that holds little relevance unless there is a player returning from injury or some reason to discount the newer information. In Week 2 we have very little information we can be confident in. The last six weeks of the previous season can give some indication, and the preseason could provide a glimpse of what’s to come or it could be a mirage.
Wide Receiver
Tight End
Kicker
Defense/Special Teams
News or Hype?
Week 3 rankings are still fairly narrative based, and I will try to include that information as the week progresses. I think the best way to start our Week 3 approach is to look at implied team totals based on Vegas odds and adjust from there. We need to pay attention to DFS articles and individual player prop-bets (over/under) to get a good idea of how to project median outcomes.
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